Mexican economy not to return to 2018 level until 2025

2020-10-09 05:45

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MEXICO CITY, Oct. 8 (Xinhua) -- The Mexican economy is facing a multi-year recovery, with experts predicting the country will not return to the productivity levels of 2018 until mid-2025 due to the impact of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), Citibanamex Financial Group announced on Thursday.

However, the private institution's forecasts improved for 2020, with a prediction of a 9.8 percent drop in the economy compared to the previously predicted 11.2 percent.

For 2021, Citibanamex lowered expectations, predicting 3.5 percent growth compared to the previous 4.1 percent.

"We anticipate that GDP will not return to the levels of 2018 until mid-2025," Citibanamex said in a report.

According to the institution's forecasts, Mexican exports will fall this year by 11.5 percent, and private consumption will see a 10.1 percent decline.

"The determinants of private consumption remain moderate, with little optimism for the labor market," the report said.

The administration of President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has estimated that Mexico will lose around 1 million jobs in 2020 due to COVID-19, although his government is seeking the creation of 2 million new jobs.

The Mexican economy, the second largest in Latin America after Brazil, declined 0.3 percent in 2019.
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