The latest supplement to the Asian Development Outlook 2022 says the Philippine economy will grow 7.4 percent in 2022, up from its September forecast at 6.5 percent, while the growth for 2023 is expected to slow down to 6.0 percent from 6.3 percent.
The Philippine economy has shown strong underlying growth momentum and resilience in 2022, ADB Philippines Country Director Kelly Bird said.
However, there are downside risks to growth in 2023, including inflation stickiness, further increases in interest rates, and a sharper-than-expected slowdown in GDP growth in advanced countries, Bird added.
The Manila-based bank said growth in the Philippines will be at the high end of the range compared to its Southeast Asian neighbors.
The ADB also upgraded the 2022 growth forecast for Southeast Asia to 5.5 percent from 5.1 percent despite the overall dimmed outlook for Asia and the Pacific. GDP growth in Southeast Asia is expected to slow to 4.7 percent in 2023.
In the Philippines, the inflation is expected to quicken to 5.7 percent this year before slowing down at 4.3 percent in 2023, ADB added.
As ADB's flagship annual economic publication, Asian Development Outlook is published every April, with an update in September and brief supplements published generally in July and December.
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